As Europe enters the spring and summer seasons, the terrorist threat to the USEUCOM Area of Responsibility (AOR) remains elevated. This period covers religious holidays, major international sporting events, high-profile concerts, music festivals, LGBTQIA+ events, and numerous European countries' independence day celebrations.
The U.S./Israel and Iran conflict has increased the threat to DoW interests in Europe, with Iranian military and political leaders openly calling for retaliation against the United States. Iran is likely directing its proxies and partners to carry out retaliatory attacks against U.S. and Israeli interests in Europe and the Middle East. In the last 12 months, individuals linked to Iran have been arrested for surveilling or planning to attack military installations in the USEUCOM AOR.
The most likely threat to U.S. personnel involves attacks against public venues — sporting events, large gatherings, festivals, and places of worship. Inspired lone actors favor easy targets and rudimentary methods such as vehicle rammings or stabbings, often with little or no warning. Avoid demonstrations and protests, which can turn violent quickly.
Political tensions between NATO and Russia also increase the threat from Russian proxies, who continue to attempt low-level sabotage operations and intelligence collection against DoW personnel and facilities.